By Blamuel Njururi, Kenya Confidential Editor-in-Chief, Nairobi – October 25, 2017
Resistance movements are usually started by youthful socialist radicals not grandfathers over 72 years old in their sun set yearning to achieve what they could not in their youth
Kenyans can now take a breath some air of Peaceful Election. The dark cloud has cleared and exposed an amorphous movement yet to metamorphose.
Raila’s great announcement on the eve of the presidential election was that the abortive National Super Alliance (NASA) will from tomorrow become a Terrorist RESISTANCE MOVEMENT – National Resistance Movement (NRM) determined to defy Uhuru Government – which in Kiswahili he called Muungano wa Ukombazi.
The idea of achieving change of Government in 90 days (three months) and no peace for government simply means calling for mass action. Kenyans must brace for more disruptive demonstrations , more economic sabotage, more human carnage and displacement of persons as the only way to achieve such a feat. In other words, Raila has declared war on his motherland Kenya. in 2008 Raila ascended to unelected Prime Minister after 3 months of mass action human carnage and billions of shillings worth of economic sabotage.
The idea of National Resistance Movement was borrowed from Uganda where President Yoweri Museven waged armed war for over 10 years against several Ugandan governments until he took over and has been President of Uganda since 29 January 1986. Museveni was involved in the war that deposed Idi Amin, ending his rule in 1979, and in the rebellion that subsequently led to the demise of the Milton Obote regime in 1985
Resistance movements are usually started by youthful socialist radicals not grandfathers over 72 years old in their sun set yearning to achieve what they could not in their youth.Cuba’s Fidel Castro who Raila named his late first born after, Argentina’s Che Guevara, China’s Mao Tse-tung, Libya’s, Muammar Gaddafi were all young when they initiated revolutionary movements in their countries. In Kenya armed resistance against the British colonial government was heralded by youthful Mau Mau led by Dedan Kimathi with home made guns.
Resistance movements world over are not led by over 50s like cowardly Kalonzo, Musalia or Wetangula who do not care for youths (except their children) killed as human sacrifice. Kenyans must ask themselves what these sun set revolutionaries were doing in dictator Daniel arap Moi 24-year regime other than accumulate wealth in a sea of crippling poverty they did nothing about. Only when Kenya begins building the foundation for stable economic growth do they thrust themselves upon citizens to spoil for the future generations.
Regime resistance are championed by victims of oppressive regimes not by beneficiaries who have exploited corruption to become millionaires and billionaires then seek leadership to ensure their families and relatives will lord over impoverished populations for ever. All the NASA, now NRM, so-called principals are not millionaires and billionaires because their grandfathers sacrificed their lives like Mau Mau freedom fighters or were industrial investors like Indians who came to Kenya from India to build the Kenya-Uganda Railways. Their fathers were collaborators with the British colonialists.
Those who mount armed military resistance against elected governments always impose themselves upon citizens until death do them part with the Presidency. Raila will not be any different. The world is littered with dictators who got to power through so-called popular armed resistance. It’s not clear why Raila forgot the word popular in his NRM.
Uganda’s National Resistance Army (NRA), the military wing of the National Resistance Movement (NRM), was a rebel army that waged a guerrilla war, commonly referred to as the Ugandan Bush War or Luwero War, against the government of Milton Obote, and later that of Tito Okello when Museveni returned to Uganda from Mozambique and Tanzania.
NRA was supported by the late Libyan dictator Muammar al-Gaddafi. It is not clear which government will back the NASA NRA wing of its NRM or who will be in charge of its troops training. The door is however open for mercenaries who in Kenya can be declared the national army when Raila succeeds some ten years to come thereby replacing Kenya Defence Forces, which he loathes.
NRA was formed in 1981 when Yoweri Museveni’s Popular Resistance Army (PRA) merged with ex-president Yusuf Lule’s group, the Uganda Freedom Fighters (UFF). Museveni, then leader of the Uganda Patriotic Movement party, alleged electoral fraud and declared an armed rebellion, following the victory of Uganda Peoples Congress in the bitterly disputed 1980 general elections.
Museveni, who had guerrilla war experience with the Mozambican Liberation Front (FRELIMO) in Mozambique, and his own Front for National Salvation (FRONASA) formed in Tanzania to fight Idi Amin, led the NRA to victory against Ugandan government troops (UNLA) in 1986. By the time that the victorious NRA entered Kampala in 1986, about a quarter of its 16,000 combatants were Banyarwanda, while Fred Rwigema was its deputy commander. The NRA then became the national army.
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Shortly afterwards the UNLA carried out a number of attacks against civilians in the north of Uganda. The attacks largely targeted the Acholi people and were in part seen as a form of revenge for Operation Bonanza, the scorched-earth operation there that had been ordered by Milton Obote during his presidency.
From 1986 to 1990, the Museveni regime tried to end various insurgencies and to establish control over the army. Despite repeated government claims that the NRA had defeated the UNLA and other rebel groups, insurgent activity continued, especially in the northern, eastern, and western regions. In April 1988, 3,000 former Uganda People’s Army (UPA) fighters and members of several other small rebel groups accepted a government amnesty by surrendering and declaring their support for Museveni’s regime.
In June 1988, the Museveni concluded a peace agreement with Uganda People’s Democratic Army (UPDA) commander Lieutenant Colonel John Angelo Okello. Although the NRA subsequently integrated many UPA and UPDA personnel into its ranks, thousands of others rejected the peace accord and continued to fight against the NRA.
After the 1995 Ugandan constitution was enacted, the NRA was renamed the Uganda People’s Defence Force. There is no guarantee that Raila is not opening a can of worms that will see armed bandits emerge within Luo Nation, Mlembe Nation and neighbouring Turkana as extensions of armed his resistance.
Turkey’s main Kurdish rebel group Abdullah Ocelan rotting in jail
Resistance Movements take years waging armed terrorist war on governments. Raila’s now faces the enormous task of assembling an armed wing of his resistance movement. Armed resistance takes years to succeed or FAIL all together.
The jailed leader of Turkey’s main Kurdish rebel group Abdullah Ocelan two years ago urged his followers to end a 30-year armed struggle. Ocalan leads the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, or PKK, but has been in prison since 1999 serving a life sentence for treason. He was surrendered to the Turkish government by Kenya Government during Daniel arap Moi regime in which Raila was a minister and ruling Kanu Secretary General.
In the period of 1998 – 2002, during the co-operation and, later, merger of NDP and KANU, the opposition warned Raila on the dangers of working with Moi. Hardly surprising, considering that Kenya’s opposition consisted of people who had fallen out of favor with Moi!
Michael Wamalwa of FORD-K , now in Moses Wetangula leadership, told Raila that he would not get whatever deal he was making with Moi. Democratic Party leader, former President Mwai Kibaki, who had served as Moi’s Vice president for eight years, told Raila that Moi was not in the habit of making deals and certainly not with Raila’s record of opposition politics.
Within his own Luo community, personalities like James Orengo, now Raila legal misadviser, told Raila not to trust Moi. However, for reasons that are difficult to understand other than delusions over shortcuts to presidency, Raila had absolute faith in Moi.
Political anlysts could tell that Moi’s co-operation with NDP was a scheme to contain Raila. Besides, Moi needed Raila’s NDP in Parliament to counter any challenges posed by Kibaki’s Democratic Party and Wamalwa’s FORD-K. In other words, Raila’s willingness to co-operate and merge with KANU was to Moi’s advantage.
There was no visible benefit either for the NDP or for Raila’s Luo tribe. Personally Raila emerged a major economic beneficiary when Moi regime sold to him the Kisumu Molasses and huge tracts of land to him for a song. But in spite of all the misgivings, Raila was certain that he could use KANU to ascend to Kenya’s presidency. He failed because Moi had not forgiven him after staging a failed military coup in 1982 against him in which over 1,500 innocent Kenyans died.
NASA principals to be viewed as Ethnic Warlords
Raila has now dumped (read killed) Musalia Mudavadi’s NASA and introduced otherwise middle-roader into radically unchartered waters he has never swam in. His running mate Kalonzo Musyoka on October 23rd urged Kenyans to take advantage of their Constitutional right and vote contrary to Raila’s appeal to his followers not to vote.
Fellow so-called principal Moses Wetangula will be hard pressed by his Bukhusu tribes-people to explain if he is dragging them into a terror movement of Ethnic Warlords. Raila’s idea of ascending to power through terror is bound to fail as a curse following his mass action 2008 bloodbath. Down with it will go Mudavadi, Wetangula and Kalonzo unless they disown him as quickly as they can and jump from the sinking ship.
A Luo jua kali youth letter to Raila
Dear Hon. Raila Odinga, I watched you turn NASA into a Resistance Movement (whatever that is) and I have no problem with that. In fact, you may call it Odinga Resistance Army...still it won't bother me. Baba, my reservations touch on the second part of your "earthshaking announcement" election eve announcement i.e boycotting products from government and Uhuruto supporters. Why? I'm glad you asked. I, like thousands of Luos living Nairobi (your target audience)... 1. Live in a rental house owned by an Uhuruto supporter...Do I move out beginning tomorrow? If yes, where to? 2. Commute to and from work via Matatus (mostly owned by Okuyu). In the spirit of resisting Uhuruto and his supporters, do I start trekking from tomorrow or is the resistance going to provide Resistance Bus Services? 3. Is in the Juakali sector, where 70% of my clients are Uhuruto supporters. What should I do? Pack back to Nyanza or the resistance has enough clients to replace the ones I have. 4. Use household products and foods from companies and businesses owned by government and supporters of Uhuruto. What's the way forward jatelo? Is milk from Luo Nyanza Creameries ready for shipping? What about the Luo Unga Group, is the flour ready for shipping to Nairobi? Sir, where will I get bread...tell me the Gor Mahia bread is still in circulation. I could go on and my Supreme Leader, but for now...just answer the 4 questions. And thanks in advance. Yours Truly, Samson Ogola Luo Living in Nairobi (Your Target Audience)